openclimatefix / india-forecast-app

Runs wind and PV forecasts for India and saves to database
MIT License
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Windnet DA model not working as it should #77

Open peterdudfield opened 1 month ago

peterdudfield commented 1 month ago

DA windnet forecast, is not better. The version on dev, should be better that production from ML experiments. Production has a smaller patch size than dev

https://github.com/openclimatefix/PVNet/blob/main/experiments/india/003_wind_plevels/plevel.md

Screenshot 2024-06-06 at 08 50 07

It feels like there is something wrong after 35 hours. And slightly strange that around 24 hours it is worst that production.

For example the 2700 forecast horizon, the results are all too high

Screenshot 2024-06-06 at 08 52 07

Ideas:

Batch creation was made using ocf_datapipes==3.3.24. Current version in this repo isocf-datapipes = "3.3.7", so we could try upgrading this

Looked at the init values in the train and validation, and looks good

peterdudfield commented 1 month ago

Looking also at retraining a model with a different seed, perhaps.3 different models, to see the differences in results