opennem / opennem

Energy market data access platform
https://opennem.org.au
MIT License
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Historical energy data in OpenNEM (wildly) inconsistent with CER data #100

Open aleith opened 1 year ago

aleith commented 1 year ago

I'm not sure of the data source for the opennem generation data for coal and gas but because I was interested in emissions intensity I started looking at the Clean Energy Regualtor's generation by facility data for 2019-20 (FY20).

It's probably to be expected that there will be differences in emissions data between sources due to the rubbery nature of emissions intensity indexes (used in openNEM to convert the energy [MWh] database to emissions [tCO₂-e] for the UI views/reporting), measurement and national reporting. What I wasn't expecting was big differences in the underlying energy (MWh) data between openNEM and the CER data.

I've only compared 4 facilities so far, all gas and all in WA. But some of the comparable numbers are close and others are dramatically different.

Here's a sample of the reporting differences (link to excel file)

Reporting entity Facility name State Electricity production [MWh] OPENNEM Energy FY20 [MWh] delta % Delta A % Delta B
AGL ENERGY LIMITED Kwinana Swift Power Station WA 123,007 122,394 -613 0% -1%
ELECTRICITY GENERATION AND RETAIL CORPORATION Kwinana Power Station WA 793,439 1,414,799 621,360 78% 44%
INTERNATIONAL POWER (AUSTRALIA) HOLDINGS PTY LIMITED Kwinana Cogeneration Plant WA 940,981 241,884 -699,097 -74% -289%
NEWGEN KWINANA HOLDINGS PTY LTD Kwinana Gas Fired Power Station WA 1,724,343 1,695,385 -28,958 -2% -2%

I guess next step is to DL and compare with AEMO SCADA data.

aleith commented 1 year ago

I should add that CER data is widely regarded as having lots of issues, so I'm not pointing the finger at OpenNEM at all, just raising the issues for further discussion/investigation.

aleith commented 1 year ago

I've now compared all the fossil generation on the SWIS and most of the comparisons for energy and emissions between CER and openNEM data are out by at least a magnitude of ~10%, some much greater than that (up to 153%).

I've checked and double checked that I'm using the correct FY21 data from openNEM, and the CER excel file states that it's 2020-21 (they would have to use financial years for reporting wouldn't they?). There's also a few facilities I can't match the names of, small facilities though.

Excel file here.

Numbers file here

Facility name Electricity production Total emissions Emission intensity Primary fuel OpemNEM Facility Tech. Capacity Emissions Intensity OpemNEM Electricity OpemNEM Emissions (Inferred) Energy Difference CER vs OpenNEM Energy Difference [%] Emissions Difference Emissions Diff [%]
Bluewaters Power 1 1,613,610 1,219,437 0.75 Black Coal Bluewaters G1 Coal 217 880 1,466,669 1,290,669 146,941 9.5% -71,232 -5.7%
Bluewaters Power 2 1,689,841 1,256,311 0.74 Black Coal Bluewaters G2 Coal 217 910 1,535,867 1,397,639 153,974 9.5% -141,328 -10.7%
Collie Power Station 1,043,412 958,188 0.92 Black Coal Collie G1 Coal 318 910 950,734 865,168 92,678 9.3% 93,020 10.2%
Muja Power Station 3,587,410 3,262,123 0.91 Black Coal Muja C & D Total (4 units) Coal 814.6 920 3,342,375 3,074,985 245,035 7.1% 187,138 5.9%
Kalamunda Power Station 0 1 0.00 Diesel                    
Ravensthorpe Power Station 69 50 0.72 Diesel                    
Alinta Pinjarra Generation Facility 1,594,393 1,087,443 0.68 Gas Pinjara OCGT 286 670 1,558,189 1,043,987 36,204 2.3% 43,456 4.1%
Cockburn Power Station 130,959 52,840 0.40 Gas Cockburn CCGT 250 390 123,474 48,155 7,485 5.9% 4,685 9.3%
Kalgoorlie Gas Turbine Station 5,433 5,283 0.97 Gas                    
Kalgoorlie Power Station 279,941 156,822 0.56 Gas                    
Kambalda Power Station 284,226 155,829 0.55 Gas Kambalda OCGT 23 960 131,827 126,554 152,399 73.3% 29,275 20.7%
Kemerton Power Station 131,827 88,548 0.65 Gas Kemerton OCGT 309 700 950,734 665,514 -818,907 -151.3% -576,966 -153.0%
Kwinana Cogeneration Plant 780,046 403,357 0.52 Gas Kwinana Cogen OCGT? 42 580 241,876 140,288 538,170 105.3% 263,069 96.8%
Kwinana Gas Fired Power Station 2,027,187 795,906 0.39 Gas Newgen Kwinana CCGT 335 540 1,989,822 1,074,504 37,365 1.9% -278,598 -29.8%
Kwinana Power Station 669,920 355,381 0.53 Gas Kwinana OCGT 296 520 1,227,361 638,228 -557,441 -58.8% -282,847 -56.9%
Kwinana Swift Power Station 34,511 20,977 0.60 Gas Kwinana Swift OCGT 116 578 34,364 19,877 147 0.4% 1,100 5.4%
Mungarra Gas Turbine Station 30,926 25,262 0.82 Gas Mugarra OCGT 117 780 30,585 23,856 341 1.1% 1,406 5.7%
Newgen Neerabup Power Station 200,465 124,564 0.60 Gas Neerabup OCGT 342 600 198,685 119,211 1,780 0.9% 5,353 4.4%
Parkeston Power Station 261,661 146,132 0.56 Gas Parkeston OCGT 68 600 46,994 28,196 214,667 139.1% 117,936 135.3%
Pinjar Gas Turbine Station 559,454 497,194 0.89 Gas Pinjar OCGT / Distillate 576 820 552,704 453,217 6,750 1.2% 43,977 9.3%
Wagerup Power Station 334,356 189,349 0.55 Gas Wagerup OCGT 408 560 387,887 217,217 -53,531 -14.8% -27,868 -13.7%
aleith commented 1 year ago

any ideas could possibly be going on here @simonhac ?

There are very large discrepancies in some cases, very similar numbers in other cases and some in between.

Facility name WA Electricity (MWh) emissions (tCO2e) OpemNEM [MWh] OpemNEM [tCO2e] Energy Difference / (CER + OpenNEM)[%] Emissions Diff / (CER + OpenNEM)
Bluewaters Power 1 WA 1,613,610 1,219,437 1,466,669 1,290,669 4.8% -2.8%
Bluewaters Power 2 WA 1,689,841 1,256,311 1,535,867 1,397,639 4.8% -5.3%
Collie Power Station WA 1,043,412 958,188 950,734 865,168 4.6% 5.1%
Muja Power Station WA 3,587,410 3,262,123 3,342,375 3,074,985 3.5% 3.0%
Kalamunda Power Station WA 0 1        
Ravensthorpe Power Station WA 69 50        
Alinta Pinjarra Generation Facility WA 1,594,393 1,087,443 1,558,189 1,043,987 1.1% 2.0%
Cockburn Power Station WA 130,959 52,840 123,474 48,155 2.9% 4.6%
Kalgoorlie Gas Turbine Station WA 5,433 5,283        
Kalgoorlie Power Station WA 279,941 156,822        
Kambalda Power Station WA 284,226 155,829 131,827 126,554 36.6% 10.4%
Kemerton Power Station WA 131,827 88,548 950,734 665,514 -75.6% -76.5%
Kwinana Cogeneration Plant WA 780,046 403,357 241,876 140,288 52.7% 48.4%
Kwinana Gas Fired Power Station WA 2,027,187 795,906 1,989,822 1,074,504 0.9% -14.9%
Kwinana Power Station WA 669,920 355,381 1,227,361 638,228 -29.4% -28.5%
Kwinana Swift Power Station WA 34,511 20,977 34,364 19,877 0.2% 2.7%
Mungarra Gas Turbine Station WA 30,926 25,262 30,585 23,856 0.6% 2.9%
Newgen Neerabup Power Station WA 200,465 124,564 198,685 119,211 0.4% 2.2%
Parkeston Power Station WA 261,661 146,132 46,994 28,196 69.5% 67.7%
Pinjar Gas Turbine Station WA 559,454 497,194 552,704 453,217 0.6% 4.6%
Wagerup Power Station WA 334,356 189,349 387,887 217,217 -7.4% -6.9%
nc9 commented 1 year ago

related #104