os-climate / physrisk

Physical climate risk calculation engine
Apache License 2.0
29 stars 39 forks source link

Identify models for translating valuation shocks into Probability of Default (PD) and Loss Given Default (LGD) #118

Open joemoorhouse opened 1 year ago

joemoorhouse commented 1 year ago

By 'valuation shocks' we mean (uninsured) loss or disruption leading to loss of revenue.

Use as worked examples the following scenarios: 1) Commercial/residential real estate portfolio used as collateral: how can (uninsured) loss impact the LGD of the loan? 2) How can chronic heat impact PD of a company, for various sectors (e.g. construction, mining)

joemoorhouse commented 1 year ago

Se also https://github.com/os-climate/physrisk/issues/112

joemoorhouse commented 1 year ago

A possible approach: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/conferences/shared/pdf/20170511_2nd_mp_policy/DeesHenryMartin-Stampe-Stress-Test_Analytics_for_Macroprudential_Purposes_in_the_euro_area.en.pdf