pacific-hake / hake-assessment

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New forecast catches #107

Closed allanhicks closed 8 years ago

allanhicks commented 8 years ago

@allanhicks can figure out the new forecast catches to input into all.r

cgrandin commented 8 years ago

I think at least one of us should know how this is done exactly so we can do it next year, (Aaron?). Does Ian Taylor know what you do here? Thanks

aaronmberger-nwfsc commented 8 years ago

Are you following [explicitly] your notes on this that you shared the other day? But agree with Chris that someone needs to know EVERYTHING Allan does :)

On Thu, Feb 11, 2016 at 12:14 PM, cgrandin notifications@github.com wrote:

I think at least one of us should know how this is done exactly so we can do it next year, (Aaron?). Does Ian Taylor know what you do here? Thanks

— Reply to this email directly or view it on GitHub https://github.com/cgrandin/hake-assessment/issues/107#issuecomment-183045644 .

Aaron M. Berger, Ph.D. Research Mathematical Statistician Fishery Resource Analysis and Monitoring Division Northwest Fisheries Science Center 2032 SE OSU Dr. Bldg. 955 Newport, OR 97365-5275

aaron.berger@noaa.gov aaron.berger@noaa.gov541.867.0562

aaronmberger-nwfsc commented 8 years ago

sorry, above comment directed to Allan

On Thu, Feb 11, 2016 at 12:18 PM, Aaron Berger - NOAA Federal < aaron.berger@noaa.gov> wrote:

Are you following [explicitly] your notes on this that you shared the other day? But agree with Chris that someone needs to know EVERYTHING Allan does :)

On Thu, Feb 11, 2016 at 12:14 PM, cgrandin notifications@github.com wrote:

I think at least one of us should know how this is done exactly so we can do it next year, (Aaron?). Does Ian Taylor know what you do here? Thanks

— Reply to this email directly or view it on GitHub https://github.com/cgrandin/hake-assessment/issues/107#issuecomment-183045644 .

Aaron M. Berger, Ph.D. Research Mathematical Statistician Fishery Resource Analysis and Monitoring Division Northwest Fisheries Science Center 2032 SE OSU Dr. Bldg. 955 Newport, OR 97365-5275

aaron.berger@noaa.gov aaron.berger@noaa.gov541.867.0562 <541.867.0562>

Aaron M. Berger, Ph.D. Research Mathematical Statistician Fishery Resource Analysis and Monitoring Division Northwest Fisheries Science Center 2032 SE OSU Dr. Bldg. 955 Newport, OR 97365-5275

aaron.berger@noaa.gov aaron.berger@noaa.gov541.867.0562

allanhicks commented 8 years ago

Yes, I followed my notes. It is intuitive when you think about it. For the decision table you fix catch in each year. For the metrics you only fix the catch in the year of interest so that you compare to the predicted catch next year. Otherwise, the probabilities are comparing against fixed values, which is why we got 0 and 100%, as Chris pointed out and I ignored.

The nice thing about this collaborative process using Git is that everything is there (except the bits of confidential data parts). And, I have to relearn everything every year anyways, as you can tell with the forecasting.

On Thu, Feb 11, 2016 at 12:18 PM, aaronmberger notifications@github.com wrote:

sorry, above comment directed to Allan

On Thu, Feb 11, 2016 at 12:18 PM, Aaron Berger - NOAA Federal < aaron.berger@noaa.gov> wrote:

Are you following [explicitly] your notes on this that you shared the other day? But agree with Chris that someone needs to know EVERYTHING Allan does :)

On Thu, Feb 11, 2016 at 12:14 PM, cgrandin notifications@github.com wrote:

I think at least one of us should know how this is done exactly so we can do it next year, (Aaron?). Does Ian Taylor know what you do here? Thanks

— Reply to this email directly or view it on GitHub < https://github.com/cgrandin/hake-assessment/issues/107#issuecomment-183045644

.

Aaron M. Berger, Ph.D. Research Mathematical Statistician Fishery Resource Analysis and Monitoring Division Northwest Fisheries Science Center 2032 SE OSU Dr. Bldg. 955 Newport, OR 97365-5275

aaron.berger@noaa.gov aaron.berger@noaa.gov541.867.0562 <541.867.0562

Aaron M. Berger, Ph.D. Research Mathematical Statistician Fishery Resource Analysis and Monitoring Division Northwest Fisheries Science Center 2032 SE OSU Dr. Bldg. 955 Newport, OR 97365-5275

aaron.berger@noaa.gov aaron.berger@noaa.gov541.867.0562

— Reply to this email directly or view it on GitHub https://github.com/cgrandin/hake-assessment/issues/107#issuecomment-183046969 .

allanhicks commented 8 years ago

done