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2023 TAC is incorrect #1131

Closed kellijohnson-NOAA closed 5 months ago

kellijohnson-NOAA commented 5 months ago

Looks like the TAC values were not updated from last year just the catches were. I can fix them but I just wanted to make an issue so we can discuss how we want to handle this with respect to the draft document. Also, @cgrandin can you verify that the Canadian value below is correct? I got the U.S. values from the 2023 Federal Register. And, here is a link to the U.S. Federal Register for 2022 where it lists 545,000 t as the 2022 coastwide TAC.

https://github.com/pacific-hake/hake-assessment/blob/9cdc66d78cfdcdbd2adf01571fac70ef699c48c6/data-tables/landings-tac-history.csv#L59

I opened a branch fix-2023-TAC that has the above values, we can merge it in when I know that they are correct.

U.S. TAC = 461,750 CAN TAC = 163,250 Total TAC = 625,000

cgrandin commented 5 months ago

I updated this file and left it because the 545,000 was set two years in a row. It was set at the JMC meeting last year and the year before at 545,000 both times was it not? Have I forgotten something? If so, then the previous year is probably wrong too

aaronmberger-nwfsc commented 5 months ago

The US federal register says the US portion of the TAC was 461,750, so dividing that by the allocation of 0.7388 equals a coastwide TAC of 625,000 last year.

aaronmberger-nwfsc commented 5 months ago

I'll confirm with Colin today that the coastwide TAC was 545,000 in 2022 and 625,000 in 2023. If correct, we can easily update that value. We may also have to redo that forecast run. Doing so would be consistent with what we normally do (i.e., include a run with constant catch at y-1 coastwide TAC). However, a constant catch at 625,000 isn't really that helpful and then leaves a gap between 430,000 constant catch scenario and other scenarios in the 600,000 range. We could just change the label from "2023 TAC" to "2022 TAC". Thoughts? I'll post here what Colin says.

kellijohnson-NOAA commented 5 months ago

I feel like we should also send an email to John, Owen, and the SRG members that will be present.

cgrandin commented 5 months ago

I think for the final draft we should be consistent and replace the 545 with the 625 forecast. It shouldn't affect much as they are catching less than half that but can fix this ahead of time and show the new decision table in the meeting

aaronmberger-nwfsc commented 5 months ago

Colin confirmed, the coastwide tac in 2022 was 545,000 mt, and in 2023 was 625,000 mt.

https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2022/06/02/2022-11728/magnuson-stevens-act-provisions-fisheries-off-west-coast-states-pacific-coast-groundfish-fishery

https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2023/05/31/2023-11466/magnuson-stevens-act-provisions-fisheries-off-west-coast-states-pacific-coast-groundfish-fishery

kellijohnson-NOAA commented 5 months ago

Should I merge the branch into main then?