Initial: Suggestions - Githubissues

Claygr commented 2 years ago

Limit randomly displayed forecasts on homepage to collection of whitelisted forecasts
Change forecast update time until >12pm GMT such that you capture the daily updates from Good Judgment Inc
Display forecasts graphically with certain parameters (minimum, time: 24hr; 7d; 14d; 1mo; etc | also consider: log & delta probability)
In addition to current probability on forecast display, also show delta of Q probability given certain time parameters (24hr; 7d; 14d; 1mo; etc)
Editable dashboards (re-organize order of questions; add or remove questions from dashboard)
Sections in dashboards (topic: Russia-Ukraine; section 1 = sanctions Qs; section 2 = NATO Qs; etc.)
Display options for dashboards (toggle description text; number of columns; enable graphs for selected questions; etc)
Aggregate similar forecasts into a blended forecast given certain parameters (length of question; stars / subjective weights; etc) and feature said forecasts in dashboards
Organize successive forecasts into a single chart / display and feature in dashboards (e.g., 10K, 25K, 50K, 100K War Death Qs all together)
Select forecasts to compare, including plotting on same chart (e.g., probability of peace deal and forecasts on wheat prices)

Later: Updated front-end design

NunoSempere commented 2 years ago

Don't show description in mainpage?

24h movement, high/low, etc. Other relevant forecasts??

NunoSempere commented 2 years ago

Related forecasts using keywords?

NunoSempere commented 2 years ago

Limit randomly displayed forecasts on homepage to collection of whitelisted forecasts (1 hour given forecasts)
Change forecast update time until >12pm GMT such that you capture the daily updates from Good Judgment Inc (10 mins)
Display forecasts graphically with certain parameters (minimum, time: 24hr; 7d; 14d; 1mo; etc | also consider: log & delta probability) (3h)
In addition to current probability on forecast display, also show delta of Q probability given certain time parameters (24hr; 7d; 14d; 1mo; etc) (2h)
Editable dashboards (re-organize order of questions; add or remove questions from dashboard) (1 day)
Sections in dashboards (topic: Russia-Ukraine; section 1 = sanctions Qs; section 2 = NATO Qs; etc.) (30 mins)
Display options for dashboards (toggle description text; number of columns; enable graphs for selected questions; etc) (3h)
Aggregate similar forecasts into a blended forecast given certain parameters (length of question; stars / subjective weights; etc) and feature said forecasts in dashboards (half a day)
Organize successive forecasts into a single chart / display and feature in dashboards (e.g., 10K, 25K, 50K, 100K War Death Qs all together) (1 day)
Select forecasts to compare, including plotting on same chart (e.g., probability of peace deal and forecasts on wheat prices) (1 day)

Later: Updated front-end design

NunoSempere commented 2 years ago

Why Clay wants this: To have numerous successors of https://globalguessing.com/russia-ukraine-forecasts/ for different topics

quantified-uncertainty / metaforecast