Big lists of the expected values of different EA projects

quantified-uncertainty / potential-projects

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Big lists of the expected values of different EA projects #19

Open OAGr opened 2 years ago

OAGr commented 2 years ago

It would be really great to have some sort of rating for most EA projects. This would include:

Blog Posts
Articles
Projects
Events

It's not clear what the units should be. Some ideas include:

MicroQarps (quality adjusted research papers, domain specified)
Microtopias / microdooms
Unitless (comparisons)

In the beginning, these estimates could be made by a small team. Later on, they could be made by forecasters, predicting what evaluators would say.

uvafan commented 2 years ago

Nuno's previous experiments in this vein seem relevant to prioritizing this.

OAGr commented 2 years ago

Yep, he's been doing some work in this broad area for a while now. One of the hopes was that that work would be useful for something like this. (I've been thinking about it for a while)