Predictary: a prediction diary

[alexdemarsh]

We all know we should journal, but no one does. We all know we should routinely make forecasts, but (almost) no one does.

if you try to do both simultaneously, does this somehow get easier? I don't know, but it strikes me that a simple journal mechanism (say, via a daily email) could be organized around future predictions about one's life, the outcomes tracked, and accuracy metrics provided.

I'm imagining banal stuff like: "I will finish task X by date Y (90%)." "If I try active listening, Alice will respond positively to feedback (75%)."

User could get some insight on how well they're anticipating their own future experiences, plus gain some forecasting skills. Seems maybe cool?

[NunoSempere]

This is a neat idea, thanks for proposing it. They way I'm thinking about it, I'm thinking that metaforecast could act as an open prediction registry, and other services could save and fetch predictions.

So my sense is that we'll have the infrastructure for this soon, but not necessarily the frontend.