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quintel / merit

A system for calculating hourly electricity and heat loads with a merit order
MIT License
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Check numbers for profit #43

Closed dennisquintel closed 11 years ago

dennisquintel commented 11 years ago 
+------------------------------------------------------+-----------------------------+--------------------------+------+--------+---------+-------------+-------------+----------------+-----------------+
| key                                                  | class                       | profitability            | flh  | profit | revenue | total_costs | fixed_costs | variable_costs | operating_costs |
+------------------------------------------------------+-----------------------------+--------------------------+------+--------+---------+-------------+-------------+----------------+-----------------+
| energy_power_solar_pv_solar_radiation                | Merit::VolatileProducer     | unprofitable             | 1050 | 0      | 0       | 0           | 0           | 0              | 0               |
| energy_power_solar_csp_solar_radiation               | Merit::VolatileProducer     | unprofitable             | 500  | 0      | 0       | 0           | 0           | 0              | 0               |
| energy_power_wind_turbine_inland                     | Merit::VolatileProducer     | conditionally_profitable | 2500 | -16    | 176     | 191         | 191         | 0              | 53              |
| energy_power_wind_turbine_coastal                    | Merit::VolatileProducer     | profitable               | 3000 | 3      | 39      | 35          | 35          | 0              | 9               |
| energy_power_wind_turbine_offshore                   | Merit::VolatileProducer     | conditionally_profitable | 3500 | -63    | 44      | 106         | 106         | 0              | 27              |
| buildings_solar_pv_solar_radiation                   | Merit::VolatileProducer     | conditionally_profitable | 1050 | -5     | 2       | 6           | 6           | 0              | 0               |
| households_solar_pv_solar_radiation                  | Merit::VolatileProducer     | conditionally_profitable | 1050 | -7     | 4       | 11          | 11          | 0              | 1               |
| industry_chp_combined_cycle_gas_power_fuelmix        | Merit::MustRunProducer      | unprofitable             | 5442 | -1064  | 1097    | 2160        | 310         | 1850           | 1850            |
| industry_chp_supercritical_wood_pellets              | Merit::MustRunProducer      | unprofitable             | 5247 | -235   | 116     | 351         | 99          | 251            | 282             |
| industry_chp_ultra_supercritical_coal                | Merit::MustRunProducer      | unprofitable             | 4204 | 0      | 0       | 0           | 0           | 0              | 0               |
| energy_power_supercritical_waste_mix                 | Merit::MustRunProducer      | conditionally_profitable | 6190 | -66    | 253     | 318         | 314         | 4              | 4               |
| agriculture_chp_engine_gas_power_fuelmix             | Merit::MustRunProducer      | unprofitable             | 3980 | -535   | 772     | 1307        | 352         | 955            | 994             |
| buildings_collective_chp_wood_pellets                | Merit::MustRunProducer      | unprofitable             | 6097 | 0      | 0       | 0           | 0           | 0              | 0               |
| buildings_collective_chp_gas_power_fuelmix           | Merit::MustRunProducer      | unprofitable             | 3942 | -90    | 104     | 193         | 43          | 150            | 150             |
| households_collective_chp_wood_pellets               | Merit::MustRunProducer      | unprofitable             | 6097 | 0      | 0       | 0           | 0           | 0              | 0               |
| households_collective_chp_network_gas                | Merit::MustRunProducer      | unprofitable             | 3942 | 0      | 0       | 0           | 0           | 0              | 0               |
| households_water_heater_fuel_cell_chp_network_gas    | Merit::MustRunProducer      | unprofitable             | 0    | 0      | 0       | 0           | 0           | 0              | 0               |
| other_chp_engine_gas_power_fuelmix                   | Merit::MustRunProducer      | unprofitable             | 4000 | 0      | 0       | 0           | 0           | 0              | 0               |
| households_space_heater_micro_chp_network_gas        | Merit::MustRunProducer      | unprofitable             | 0    | 0      | 0       | 0           | 0           | 0              | 0               |
| households_water_heater_micro_chp_network_gas        | Merit::MustRunProducer      | unprofitable             | 0    | 0      | 0       | 0           | 0           | 0              | 0               |
| energy_power_ultra_supercritical_oxyfuel_ccs_lignite | Merit::DispatchableProducer | unprofitable             | 0    | 0      | 0       | 0           | 0           | 0              | 0               |
| energy_power_ultra_supercritical_lignite             | Merit::DispatchableProducer | unprofitable             | 0    | 0      | 0       | 0           | 0           | 0              | 0               |
| energy_chp_ultra_supercritical_crude_oil             | Merit::DispatchableProducer | unprofitable             | 0    | 0      | 0       | 0           | 0           | 0              | 0               |
| energy_chp_ultra_supercritical_lignite               | Merit::DispatchableProducer | unprofitable             | 0    | 0      | 0       | 0           | 0           | 0              | 0               |
| energy_chp_ultra_supercritical_wood_pellets          | Merit::DispatchableProducer | unprofitable             | 0    | 0      | 0       | 0           | 0           | 0              | 0               |
| energy_power_combined_cycle_ccs_coal                 | Merit::DispatchableProducer | unprofitable             | 0    | 0      | 0       | 0           | 0           | 0              | 0               |
| energy_power_combined_cycle_ccs_gas_power_fuelmix    | Merit::DispatchableProducer | unprofitable             | 0    | 0      | 0       | 0           | 0           | 0              | 0               |
| energy_power_ultra_supercritical_crude_oil           | Merit::DispatchableProducer | unprofitable             | 0    | 0      | 0       | 0           | 0           | 0              | 0               |
| energy_power_ultra_supercritical_ccs_coal            | Merit::DispatchableProducer | unprofitable             | 0    | 0      | 0       | 0           | 0           | 0              | 0               |
| energy_power_engine_diesel                           | Merit::DispatchableProducer | unprofitable             | 0    | 0      | 0       | 0           | 0           | 0              | 0               |
| energy_power_supercritical_coal                      | Merit::DispatchableProducer | unprofitable             | 0    | 0      | 0       | 0           | 0           | 0              | 0               |
| energy_power_nuclear_gen2_uranium_oxide              | Merit::DispatchableProducer | unprofitable             | 0    | 0      | 0       | 0           | 0           | 0              | 0               |
| energy_power_nuclear_gen3_uranium_oxide              | Merit::DispatchableProducer | profitable               | 7884 | 53     | 261     | 207         | 184         | 23             | 49              |
| energy_power_combined_cycle_coal                     | Merit::DispatchableProducer | profitable               | 7883 | 32     | 129     | 97          | 50          | 46             | 51              |
| energy_power_ultra_supercritical_coal                | Merit::DispatchableProducer | profitable               | 7708 | 369    | 1344    | 975         | 377         | 598            | 652             |
| energy_chp_ultra_supercritical_coal                  | Merit::DispatchableProducer | profitable               | 7686 | 155    | 834     | 678         | 263         | 415            | 453             |
| energy_power_combined_cycle_gas_power_fuelmix        | Merit::DispatchableProducer | profitable               | 6498 | 255    | 1719    | 1464        | 314         | 1150           | 1196            |
| energy_chp_combined_cycle_gas_power_fuelmix          | Merit::DispatchableProducer | conditionally_profitable | 2490 | -261   | 589     | 850         | 353         | 496            | 548             |
| energy_power_ultra_supercritical_gas_power_fuelmix   | Merit::DispatchableProducer | conditionally_profitable | 468  | -119   | 139     | 258         | 140         | 117            | 124             |
| energy_power_turbine_network_gas                     | Merit::DispatchableProducer | unprofitable             | 51   | -10    | 0       | 10          | 9           | 0              | 2               |
+------------------------------------------------------+-----------------------------+--------------------------+------+--------+---------+-------------+-------------+----------------+-----------------+
ChaelKruip commented 11 years ago

@JAlsem What is the status of this ticket?

JAlsem commented 11 years ago

According to my planning the validation of these numbers should be finished by next Friday 14 december (so before the testing and the deploy). Up to now I have found documents which state these numbers, I just did not make the comparison yet.

dennisquintel commented 11 years ago

Added milestone "Deploy December"

JAlsem commented 11 years ago

Conclusion of the first validation: most numbers seem to be realistic. However, extra validation is needed and has to be done before the January deploy.

ChaelKruip commented 11 years ago

@JAlsem what is the status of this ticket?

JAlsem commented 11 years ago

For an expert validation of the full load hours, cost parameters (like marginal costs, fuel costs, CO2-costs) and the resulting profit per technology, Maarten Mangus from E.On will be consulted.

New milestone: February deploy

ChaelKruip commented 11 years ago

Moved to "Deploy March 2013" after discussion with @JAlsem.

JAlsem commented 11 years ago

I contacted Maarten Mangnus from E.On, he has time in the first week of April.

ChaelKruip commented 11 years ago

Moved to April Deploy.

JAlsem commented 11 years ago

After a phone call with Maarten Mangnus the following can be concluded: 1. merit order calculation No adaptations necessary. The existing calculations make sense. 2. Costs per plant type Have a look at which price levels will be taken into account. (prices from 2010 or the updated prices). The used resources are okay. 3. full load hours the number of full load hours of the CCGT are nowadays around 4000 hours, while in the merit order they are too high (6537 in the model version that Maarten Mangnus validated). This could be explained by not taking into account import of power in this model version, so the CCGT produce too much power. All the other full load hours (see below) are valid.

Ultra supercritical coal plant 7707 IGCC (coal) 7884 Ultra supercritical gas 275 CCGT 6537 Gas turbine 12 Nuclear plant 7884