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EpiNow2: Package Review #46

Open benjaminortizulloa opened 3 years ago

benjaminortizulloa commented 3 years ago

EpiNow2 is an R package for estimating the time-varying reproduction number, and growth rates based on underlying latent infections. It is also used to forecast the future course of outbreaks both in terms of forecasting the reproduction number and reported cases. Community support is needed to allow the developers to focus on developing, validating and improving the underlying methodology.

A package review would help identify key pain paints, areas for improvements and provide insights on an interface level that the developers may not have thought of.

Deliberables:

Optional deliverables:

[impact: EpiNow2 is used by the developers, in partnership with the Met office, to produce reproduction number estimates for Covid-19 on a national and subnational basis each day (https://epiforecasts.io/covid/). These estimates are then used by multiple organisations including the WHO and UK government agencies. The package itself is used, both by the developers and by public health agencies, to estimate reproduction numbers that inform policy in multiple countries. On top of this, the package is used to forecast Covid-19 cases, and admissions both for the German and US forecasting hubs and used to answer current questions of interest (such as assessing the impact of firebreak lockdowns in Wales and Northern Ireland (https://github.com/epiforecasts/rt-breakpoints)).] [originally proposed by @seabbs] [suggested repo: https://github.com/epiforecasts/EpiNow2 | @seabbs] [additional notes: ]