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reichlab / covid19-forecast-hub

Projections of COVID-19, in standardized format
https://covid19forecasthub.org
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Check the point prediction verification tests #257

Closed katiehouse3 closed 4 years ago

katiehouse3 commented 4 years ago

@matthewcornell the JHU covidhigh/mod-dist models but I think passed the verification but does not have point predictions. (1) https://github.com/reichlab/covid19-forecast-hub/blob/master/data-processed/JHU_IDD-CovidSPHighDist/2020-05-03-JHU_IDD-CovidSPHighDist.csv (2) https://github.com/reichlab/covid19-forecast-hub/blob/master/data-processed/JHU_IDD-CovidSPModDist/2020-05-03-JHU_IDD-CovidSPModDist.csv

matthewcornell commented 4 years ago

I made the change and now get these errors as of this writing:

* ERROR IN ' /Users/cornell/IdeaProjects/covid19-forecast-hub/data-processed/JHU_IDD-CovidSPHighDist/2020-05-03-JHU_IDD-CovidSPHighDist.csv '
There must be exactly one point prediction for each location/target pair. Found these unit, target, point counts tuples did not have exactly one point: [('US', '0 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '1 wk ahead cum death', 0), ('US', '10 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '11 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '12 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '13 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '2 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '2 wk ahead cum death', 0), ('US', '3 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '3 wk ahead cum death', 0), ('US', '4 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '5 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '6 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '7 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '8 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '9 day ahead inc hosp', 0)]

* ERROR IN ' /Users/cornell/IdeaProjects/covid19-forecast-hub/data-processed/JHU_IDD-CovidSPModDist/2020-05-03-JHU_IDD-CovidSPModDist.csv '
There must be exactly one point prediction for each location/target pair. Found these unit, target, point counts tuples did not have exactly one point: [('US', '0 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '1 wk ahead cum death', 0), ('US', '10 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '11 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '12 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '13 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '2 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '2 wk ahead cum death', 0), ('US', '3 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '3 wk ahead cum death', 0), ('US', '4 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '5 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '6 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '7 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '8 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('US', '9 day ahead inc hosp', 0)]

* ERROR IN ' /Users/cornell/IdeaProjects/covid19-forecast-hub/data-processed/LANL-GrowthRateHosp/2020-05-03-LANL-GrowthRateHosp.csv '
There must be exactly one point prediction for each location/target pair. Found these unit, target, point counts tuples did not have exactly one point: [('01', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('02', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('04', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('05', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('06', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('08', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('09', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('10', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('11', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('12', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('13', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('15', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('16', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('17', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('18', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('19', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('20', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('21', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('22', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('23', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('24', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('25', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('26', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('27', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('28', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('29', '1 day ahead inc hosp', 0), ('30', '1 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Khoale1096 commented 4 years ago

I found two more forecasts that did not have point prediction for some/all targets (3) https://github.com/reichlab/covid19-forecast-hub/blob/master/data-processed/Auquan-SEIR/2020-05-11-Auquan-SEIR.csv (4) https://github.com/reichlab/covid19-forecast-hub/blob/master/data-processed/LANL-GrowthRate/2020-05-11-LANL-GrowthRate.csv -> happened to inc hosp targets

matthewcornell commented 4 years ago

I just ran it locally and found there had There must be exactly one point prediction for each location/target pair errors: