rhobis / ConvergenceClubs

Find Convergence Clubs
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ConvergenceClubs Package- High t value gets high P value also #4

Closed ayyoobsm closed 2 months ago

ayyoobsm commented 2 months ago

clubs <- findClubs(a, dataCols=2:39, unit_names = 1, refCol=2,HACmethod="AQSB",cstar_method = "fixed")

clubs ======================================================================== club 1


TVM, PTA, KTM, KLM, EKM, PGT, WYD

beta: 0.4517 std.err: 0.1121 tvalue: 4.0281 pvalue: 1 cstar: 0

======================================================================== club 2


KNR, ALP, KSGD, MLP, TCR, KKD

beta: 2.957 std.err: 0.2374 tvalue: 12.4577 pvalue: 1 cstar: 0

======================================================================== divergent


IDK

here even though High t values are there, I am getting P values 1

rhobis commented 2 months ago

The log t-test by Phillips and Sul is a left one-tailed test with threshold -1.65 (the null hyphotesys is rejected if t<-1.65, and as per step 2 their algorithm the club is formed if t>-1.65, so basically a group is formed when the null is not rejected, so p-value > 5%). For this reason, in function estimateMod() we use Pr(T<t) to calculate the pvalue, and a p-value >0.05 is a sign that the rule for creating a club is satisfied.

Anyway, the pvalue does not affect the results, as the t-value is used in the algorithm to form clubs.

References: https://github.com/rhobis/ConvergenceClubs/blob/master/R/estimateMod.R Sichera, R.; Pizzuto, P., 2019. ConvergenceClubs: A Package for Performing the Phillips and Sul’s Club Convergence Clustering Procedure. The R Journal Phillips, P. C.; Sul, D., 2007. Transition modeling and econometric convergence tests. Economet- rica 75 (6), 1771-1855. Phillips, P. C.; Sul, D., 2009. Economic transition and growth. Journal of Applied Econometrics 24 (7), 1153-1185