sars-cov-2-variants / lineage-proposals

Repository to propose and discuss lineages
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XDF : EG.5.1.3/XBB recombinant(57 seqs, 9 countries) #1088

Closed xz-keg closed 11 months ago

xz-keg commented 11 months ago

There seems to be a large branch of EG.5.1.3/XBB recombinant.

EG.5.1+C335T,T2334C(rev),C22570T,G27666T

Orf1a:R24C,V690A(rev) Orf7a:E91D

XBB--EG.5.1.3 Breakpoint after 2335, depend on donor.

C335T appears in a lot of XBB* branches.

T2334C(rev),C22570T from EG.5.1.3 G27666T from an EG.5.1.3 branch

Compared with EG.5.1 we have 1 reversion but compared with EG.5.1.3 we have 2 reversions(1889, 2334) so shall be recomb.

GISAID query: C335T,T22930A,G27666T No. of seqs: 55(Canary Islands 1 UK 5 France 2 Germany 1 Ireland 1 Netherlands 1 New Zealand 1 USA 2 Canada 41)

First: EPI_ISL_18309042, USA, 2023-8-29 Latest: EPI_ISL_18504183, Canada, 2023-11-6

usher

image

usher for EG.5.1.3-donor

image

FedeGueli commented 11 months ago

It is doubling quite fastly , it is likely boosted by canadian outbreaks and sequencing but still better out it on closer monitoring. I would be surprised if R542C A690V turn out to be detrimental

xz-keg commented 11 months ago

This is the donor of #944 @corneliusroemer

corneliusroemer commented 11 months ago

What's the evidence for recombination here? A single reversion?

xz-keg commented 11 months ago

What's the evidence for recombination here? A single reversion?

Two reversions, as EG.5.1.3 also has 1889 mutated and this one not. So it shall be 1889 and 2334 reversion.

corneliusroemer commented 11 months ago

Hmm, no, 1889 absence isn't additional evidence for recombination, just G27666T is.

No recombination requires:

Recombination of XBB with C335T and EG.5.1.3 branch with G27666T explains a) the reversion and b) the extra mutations

So there's a total saving of 4 mutations. I wonder how many such relatively-weak-evidence maybe-recombinants there are.

Most likely 5' donor is EG.10.1, as it represents 60% of recent XBB + 335T + not T2334C

xz-keg commented 11 months ago

Hmm, no, 1889 absence isn't additional evidence for recombination, just G27666T is.

No recombination requires:

  • reversion of T2334C
  • mutation of C335T,C22570T,G27666T

Or reversion of C1889T, T2334C and mutation of C335T on the EG.5.1.3+Orf7a:E91D branch.
So 2 rev+1 mut or 1 rev+3 mut.

FedeGueli commented 11 months ago

Designated XDF via https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/commit/f9269e87590d0afe646aeee7479171a797244e4c