Evidence
This is the second multiple-sequence, S:P812R lineage in the past week to emerge from Europe. As I understand it, S:P812R often emerges in cell culture studies, but it has been quite rare in circulating lineages. As stated previously, @ThomasPeacock explained to use that S:P812R creates a new furin-cleavage site (FCS) but at the S2' location in spike instead of the S1/S2 spot. See his explanation at Pango Github issue #1627 here: https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/1627 . In that issue, the only heretofore known S:P812R lineage with significant circulation was designated.
Do recent XBB lineages perhaps create a spike environment more favorable to S:P812R and the novel FCS it creates? Or perhaps there is something about the current level and type of population immunity that favors S:P812R? Too soon to tell, really. This could be a random blip. But the independent evolution of S:P812R in two unrelated XBB* lineages (the other being XBB.2.3.3) is certainly unexpected.
Description
Sub-lineage of: EG.5.1 Earliest sequence: 2023-7-31 — EPI_ISL_18130335, EPI_ISL_18130353 Most recent sequence: 2023-8-7 — EPI_ISL_18130314, EPI_ISL_18135305, EPI_ISL_18135340 Countries circulating: Denmark (5) Number of Sequences: 5 GISAID Nucleotide Query: C15763T, C16457T, C23997G CovSpectrum Query: Nextcladepangolineage: Substitutions on top of EG.5.1: Spike: P812R ORF3a: A98V ORF1a: F2334L ORF1b: S997L Nucleotide: T7265C, C15763T, C16457T, C23997G, C25685T
Phylogenetic Order of Mutations: T7265C, C25685T (ORF3a:A98V, ORF1a:F2334L) → C16457T (ORF1b:S997L) → C15763T, C23997G (S:P812R)
USHER Tree https://nextstrain.org/fetch/raw.githubusercontent.com/ryhisner/jsons/main/EG.5.1_P812R__S2'_FCS.json?c=gt-nuc_23997&label=id:node_6908166
Evidence This is the second multiple-sequence, S:P812R lineage in the past week to emerge from Europe. As I understand it, S:P812R often emerges in cell culture studies, but it has been quite rare in circulating lineages. As stated previously, @ThomasPeacock explained to use that S:P812R creates a new furin-cleavage site (FCS) but at the S2' location in spike instead of the S1/S2 spot. See his explanation at Pango Github issue #1627 here: https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/1627 . In that issue, the only heretofore known S:P812R lineage with significant circulation was designated.
Do recent XBB lineages perhaps create a spike environment more favorable to S:P812R and the novel FCS it creates? Or perhaps there is something about the current level and type of population immunity that favors S:P812R? Too soon to tell, really. This could be a random blip. But the independent evolution of S:P812R in two unrelated XBB* lineages (the other being XBB.2.3.3) is certainly unexpected.
Genomes
Genomes
EPI_ISL_18130314, EPI_ISL_18130335, EPI_ISL_18130353, EPI_ISL_18135305, EPI_ISL_18135340