re submission #1 checklist

[sdtaylor]

still to do

• [x] find home for "rules of thumb paragraph"
• [x] fix supp image absolute_scenario_rmse
• [x] write reviewer reply into paragraph

Sign off from co-authors

• [x] Joan
• [x] Kristina
• [x] Michael
• [x] Ethan

Manuscript upload checklist

• [x] main
• [x] reviewer reply
• [x] supp image
• [x] supp methods
• [x] main text diff pdf

Misc

• [x] update all images on github
• [ ] upload new zenodo version
• [ ] upload new bioarxiv version (main, & 2 supplements)

[sdtaylor]

doooooooone