今日读到一篇好文，Deb Liu 关于changing your mind. https://debliu.substack.com/p/changing-your-mind
早年和家属也讨论过这个问题，探讨信仰和怀疑精神，探讨生活中那些固执和开明的人，然后自我反思自己是什么样的人，自己想成为什么样的人。
记得我们用Bayesian的框架来建模和探讨人在belief方面的变化, 非常优美的数学框架 （P.S. 数学真的是很精炼的语言。）
这篇文章也是跟这个主题很相关，非常喜欢。
Deb Liu的pitch特别好，我们对于改变想法似乎一直有一种偏见。
就是每当有人承认他们改变了观点，我们就会称他们为 "伪君子“,”意志不坚定“,“不自信“，或者”精致利己主义者”。
但对于那些可能其实很”固执“的人，说他们是”自信“,"坚持信仰”。
作者argue说，当信息发生变化时，最好的做法不就是随之改变吗？你有一个prior belief，新的数据来了，update your prior belief, 得到你的posterior belief.
为什么要固守自己的prior belief呢？
But why? When information changes, isn’t the best course of action to change along with it? Why do we value being so fixed in our point of view that we’re unable to see and process new data? When someone does this, we say they’re “sticking to their guns” or “being confident in their beliefs,” but in reality, it’s simple stubbornness. It’s obstinacy. That’s not something to be praised.
Be upfront and mark the moment. “I changed my mind.”
Be explicit about how your beliefs have changed. “I used to believe X, but I now believe Y.”
Explain your reasoning. “This happened because Z evidence came to light and changed my thinking.”
Thank the person responsible. “I appreciate [person] for sharing this information with me.”
当你遇到特别难说服的人，可以问：
“What data would I have to show you to get you to change your mind?” If they didn’t have a clear answer, then he would know this was an idea they held on faith, a bit like a religious belief. No amount of data can sway a person from their faith (I say this as a person of faith), because that's exactly what faith is: believing without seeing. You would be surprised by how much we take on faith in the workplace.
自己反思的时候：
"What data you would need to see to prove that something you fundamentally believe is totally wrong? If someone were to come up with that data, would you be willing to change your mind? We always assume that we have all the data points, and that our own beliefs are the most logical. But the human mind has a habit of ignoring inconvenient facts. This happens so often that it even has a name: confirmation bias.
今日读到一篇好文，Deb Liu 关于changing your mind. https://debliu.substack.com/p/changing-your-mind 早年和家属也讨论过这个问题，探讨信仰和怀疑精神，探讨生活中那些固执和开明的人，然后自我反思自己是什么样的人，自己想成为什么样的人。 记得我们用Bayesian的框架来建模和探讨人在belief方面的变化, 非常优美的数学框架 （P.S. 数学真的是很精炼的语言。） 这篇文章也是跟这个主题很相关，非常喜欢。 Deb Liu的pitch特别好，我们对于改变想法似乎一直有一种偏见。 就是每当有人承认他们改变了观点，我们就会称他们为 "伪君子“,”意志不坚定“,“不自信“，或者”精致利己主义者”。 但对于那些可能其实很”固执“的人，说他们是”自信“,"坚持信仰”。 作者argue说，当信息发生变化时，最好的做法不就是随之改变吗？你有一个prior belief，新的数据来了，update your prior belief, 得到你的posterior belief. 为什么要固守自己的prior belief呢？
原文链接: https://debliu.substack.com/p/changing-your-mind
这篇文章也提供了当需要改变想法时，如何跟别人沟通自己的想法改变，可以用起来：
当你遇到特别难说服的人，可以问：
自己反思的时候：