Deviance figure for Supplement?

weecology / bbs-forecasting

Research on forecasting using Breeding Bird Survey data

MIT License

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Deviance figure for Supplement? #231

Closed davharris closed 6 years ago

davharris commented 6 years ago

Is a figure like this useful for explaining why mean deviance captures errors in both the point estimates (x axis) and in uncertainty (y axis)? The optimal combination of predicted mean and variance is at the "x".

Ward's confusion re: line 249 indicates that it might be useful in the Supplement, even for fairly advanced readers.

ethanwhite commented 6 years ago

I think this would confuse me more without a fair bit of walking me (as a reader) through it.

sdtaylor commented 6 years ago

didn't we discuss Ward just being hung up on our use of "precision" in describing deviance?

davharris commented 6 years ago

@sdtaylor That's right, thanks. I'll close this and fix it.