21/01/2020
Machine Learning model to predict the winners of the oscars
| Category | Model’s Prediction | Sarah’s Prediction | Actual Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best Picture | Joker | 1917 | Parasite |
| Best Director | Parasite | Parasite | Parasite |
| Best Adaptive Screenplay | The Irishman | Little Women | Jojo Rabbit |
| Best Orginal Screenplay | Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood | Parasite | Parasite |
| Best Actor | Marriage Story’s Adam Driver | Joker’s Joaquin Phoenix | Joker’s Joaquin Phoenix |
| Best Actress | Little Women’s Saorise Ronan | Judy’s Renee Zellweger | Judy’s Renee Zellweger |
| Best Supporting Actor | Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood’s Brad Pitt | Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood’s Brad Pitt | Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood’s Brad Pitt |
| Best Supporting Actress | Marriage Story’s Laura Dern | Little Women’s Florence Pugh | Marriage Story’s Laura Dern |
| Movie | Chance of Winning |
|---|---|
| Jojo Rabbit | 1.44% |
| 1917 | 4.98% |
| Parasite | 13.94% |
| Little Woman | 1.30% |
| Ford v Ferrari | 1.16% |
| Marriage Story | 3.94% |
| Joker | 37.88% |
| The Irishman | 10.15% |
| Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood | 25.22% |
Selected film: Joker
| Movie | Chance of Winning |
|---|---|
| 1917 | 0.43% |
| Parasite | 85.08% |
| Joker | 6.63% |
| The Irishman | 3.21% |
| Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood | 4.65% |
Selected film: Parasite
| Movie | Chance of Winning |
|---|---|
| The Two Popes | 0.52% |
| Jojo Rabbit | 2.51% |
| Little Woman | 6.32% |
| Joker | 31.83% |
| The Irishman | 58.82% |
Selected film: The Irishman
| Movie | Chance of Winning |
|---|---|
| Knives Out | 11.24% |
| 1917 | 0.09% |
| Parasite | 6.25% |
| Marriage Story | 2.88% |
| Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood | 79.54% |
Selected film: The Irishman
| Movie | Chance of Winning |
|---|---|
| The Two Popes | 12.19% |
| Pain and Glory | 22.50% |
| Marriage Story | 36.68% |
| Joker | 0.54% |
| Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood | 28.09% |
Selected film: Marriage Story
| Movie | Chance of Winning |
|---|---|
| Judy | 2.75% |
| Bombshell | 2.16% |
| Harriet | 7.35% |
| Little Woman | 47.09% |
| Marriage Story | 40.64% |
Selected film: Little Woman
| Movie | Chance of Winning |
|---|---|
| A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood | 0.76% |
| The Two Popes | 0.81% |
| The Irishman | 32.40% |
| Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood | 66.04% |
Selected film: Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood
| Movie | Chance of Winning |
|---|---|
| Richard Jewell | 17.82% |
| Bombshell | 10.00% |
| Jojo Rabbit | 15.00% |
| Little Woman | 19.87% |
| Marriage Story | 37.31% |
Selected film: Marriage Story