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alliander-opensource / AIFES

AI for the Future Energy System
Apache License 2.0
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[Candidate Technology] Use Ensemble Weather Forecasts as inputs #21

Open FrankKr opened 1 year ago

FrankKr commented 1 year ago

Definition of ready:

Why/What: Since very recently, KNMI publishes the Ensemble members of weather forecasts relevant for Solar- and Wind generation. Alliander is building a history of these. Let's explore if they can make the (uncertainty of) forecasts more precise!

E.g. Forecasting the mean, or forecasting extremes, or forecasting the confidence interval Other thought; forecasting intervals as point in time, or as scenario's?

How: ...

Result: Comparative analysis.

woutertromptennet commented 1 year ago

Interesting! This has been on our horizon for some time now.

MartijnCa commented 1 year ago

To-do:

If we do not get historical data, this would be more of a full project topic.