I think there are coup forecasts for at least 2 past years. In 2017 (?) we had forecasts that we wrote up in WaPo Monkey Cage, and then I think I had some 2018 forecasts that I never did anything with.
Add those to the forecast repo and see what their accuracy was.
One caveat: the process to generate those forecasts was slightly different. E.g. some of the data going into it was different.
I think there are coup forecasts for at least 2 past years. In 2017 (?) we had forecasts that we wrote up in WaPo Monkey Cage, and then I think I had some 2018 forecasts that I never did anything with.
Add those to the forecast repo and see what their accuracy was.
One caveat: the process to generate those forecasts was slightly different. E.g. some of the data going into it was different.