This is D/ST fantasy football scoring model, using a model framework loosely based on that of quickonthedrawl in the r/fantasyfootball reddit subreddit (detailed here: https://www.reddit.com/r/fantasyfootball/comments/9cv5of/building_and_improving_on_existing_dst_projections/).
As outlined in post, creates predicted D/ST touchdowns, points allowed, sacks, and interceptions using a combination of opponent and team statistics over both all of last season and the last 3 games of this season. It then uses these average values and creates a Poisson distribution with each against a range of zero occurances of that event with a max likely decided by myself. These predicted occurances are then multiplied by the scores they would recieve to calculated the final predicted score of defense for that week.