Jackboot Firebase

UPDATE

I never learned how to read.

Apparently, you can (and are encouraged) to supplement data sources, but you are discouraged from sharing private data outside of teams.

So I scraped ESPN for all regular season data for the past five years, which can be found in data/espn/.

Loading Data

Source the load.R script.

Current Model

1. Generate the offensive and defensive rating for each team in each season. (calculate_ratings.R)
2. Generate a linear model (currently via least squares, in calculate_coefficients.R) as defined by: points ~ offensive rating + defensive rating + location
3. Simulate each game by selecting 10,000 random draws from the distributions of the model coefficients, and compare pairwise points as games.