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Use 'attack rate' not 'reproduction rate' where evidence exists #35

Closed HughParsonage closed 4 years ago

HughParsonage commented 4 years ago

As I understand it:

Suppose two infected people visit a workplace. One comes in close contact with 10 people, the other 100.

If both have the same reproduction rate then the same number of people will be infected. But with the same attack rate the person with 100 close contacts will cause 10 times the number of new infections.

wfmackey commented 4 years ago

The Bi et al paper has some decent figures on attack rates: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(20)30287-5/fulltext

wfmackey commented 4 years ago

Just confirming that reproduction numbers don't play a role in the model anymore?

HughParsonage commented 4 years ago

Correct

On Thu, 28 May 2020 at 8:28 am, Will Mackey notifications@github.com wrote:

Just confirming that reproduction numbers don't play a role in the model anymore?

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