pik-piam / edgeTransport

A detailed transport sector model.
5 stars 16 forks source link

adjust mix2/3/4 BEV/ICE inconv trends to obtain lower BEV shares in 2025, 2030 #282

Open ahagen-pik opened 1 month ago

ahagen-pik commented 1 month ago

adjust mix2/mix3/mix4 BEV/ICE inconv trends so that we don’t get so high BEV shares in 2025, 2030 in Mix2/3/4? guessed target sales shares for USA, EUR (by Robert):

Mix2: 5-10% BEV LDV sales share in 2025, 10-20% BEV LDV sales share in 2030 15-30% BEV LDV sales share in 2035 20-40% BEV LDV sales share in 2040 30-50% BEV LDV sales share in 2045 40-60% BEV LDV sales share in 2050

Mix4: 8-15% BEV LDV sales share in 2025, 20-40% BEV LDV sales shares in 2030 30-60% BEV LDV sales share in 2035 40-75% BEV LDV sales share in 2040 50-90% BEV LDV sales share in 2045 70-100% BEV LDV sales share in 2050

Mix 4 mit ICE-Ban in der EU entsprechend höher: 25-35% BEV LDV sales share in 2025 50-60% BEV LDV sales share in 2030 95-99% BEV LDV sales share in 2035