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psteinb / covid19-curve-your-city

Extrapolation der COVID19 Fallzahlen
BSD 3-Clause "New" or "Revised" License
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improve uncertainty calculations #1

Open psteinb opened 4 years ago

psteinb commented 4 years ago

the nls fit I use is quite reluctant to produce useful uncertainty intervals. Any help is appreciated in making suggestions on how to improve the error bars for my predictions!

psteinb commented 4 years ago

One idea would be to compare the current uncertainty bounds with a linear model after transforming the data with a logarithmic scale.