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psteinb / covid19-curve-your-city

Extrapolation der COVID19 Fallzahlen
BSD 3-Clause "New" or "Revised" License
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Can R0 be obtained from our data? #11

Open psteinb opened 4 years ago

psteinb commented 4 years ago

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.27.20018952v1.full.pdf

psteinb commented 4 years ago

for more details about R0, see http://lernapparat.de/epidemiologie-sir/ (German) or http://lernapparat.de/epidemiology-sir/ (English).

psteinb commented 4 years ago

From my current understanding, R0 can be obtained by fitting the SIR or its variants directly. I potentially will have a look at this using the help of: https://www.lewuathe.com/covid-19-dynamics-with-sir-model.html The code for this blog post is very approachable and could be the basis for further studies. https://github.com/Lewuathe/COVID19-SIR

Alternatively, R0 can be obtained with simple calculations using rather strong assumptions, see "A very rough estimate of the infection rate β" in http://lernapparat.de/epidemiology-sir/.

Feel free to add further suggestions below.