Believing true things and measuring what we care about is hard. The power of web programming can help forecasters, analysts, philosophers, and philanthropists coordinate on what they believe and value, identify disagreements, communicate with peers and the general public, make bets, and update their worldviews in response to evidence.
EAGxSingapore talk contextualizing and advocating the basic field of study.
Ask an admin to assign you to your github account, which will move the issue in the In Progress column on the board.
Re the unpaid label: I may ask Manifold for managram bounties at some point over the next few weeks, we can get a cash bounty system going at some point as well.
Re the have funding / inquire for fees label: admins of the project board have nothing to do with fee discussions, that's between you and whoever posted the issue.
All are welcome to let us know what you need (Create issue).
We may put in issue templates by topic area (wikis, prediction markets, estimational programming languages or stacks, consensus elicitation, etc.) later.
Please use either the unpaid or have funding / inquire for fees labels.
3/3 should almost be at the level of being the literal prompt for a programming finetune of GPT5, or trivial to refactor into that prompt.1/3, but I'm thinking of something like this one as the most half-baked we want on the board.I don't want to do this in the labeling system (too high a risk of typical-minding, since so many different skill levels will be coming together). Feel free to discuss your guesses about how hard things are or how long they'll take, but keep in mind how likely you are to be wrong.