Open bensoltoff opened 5 years ago
@bensoltoff Great idea. A couple of thoughts on it - (1) Ethereum is actually not very "startup" as far as cryptocurrencies go. It's the second largest cryptocurrency, even though it trails bitcoin greatly in price and market cap. I think the results are definitely influenced by the relative youth and smaller size of ethereum, but it's a difficult question. (2) Unfortunately, bitcoin wasn't on reddit when it started up, and that comparison would have so many confounders because it was the first cryptocoin. So, a comparison of the first year of existence isn't possible. I tried to get at the possible effects of youth of cryptocurrencies by conducting the comparison of the two time periods. I think future research could compare ethereum to other, newer and smaller coins.
@rickecon Thanks for the comments! I didn't get to go over the motivations of the research because of the time constraint of the presentation, but you're right - I should have included it more. I find this research interesting because these coins and blockchain technology are at the intersection of a lot of fields I'm interested in - finance, economics, sociology, technology, and politics. The research on them is limited (but growing quickly), and totally inconclusive. Most researchers don't even know how to classify them - a currency? investment? technology? scam? fad? How are we supposed to value them if we don't know these things? I think we might be able to start to understand them better if we do an analysis of the ways people talk about them, and how that differs in the communities. I chose these two communities because they are the largest and very influential.
As for how differences in communities influences price -- I definitely think it these things are related, in some seen ways (like ethereum maintainers making choices in the platform that aren't pro-trading) and unseen ways, like information flows. But it's difficult to make a causal claim, because there's such a short time period of price data and so much noise.
Might the topic difference be because ethereum is still very much in the startup time period? Whereas bitcoin is already more established. What if you compared r/bitcoin in its first year of existence to r/ethereum in its first year of existence? Would you still expect to see differences in major topics?