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yangclaraliu / covid_vac_africa

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Assessing the impacts of COVID-19 vaccination programme's timing and speed on health benefits, cost-effectiveness, and relative affordability in 27 African Countries

Yang Liu PhD1,2, Simon R Procter DPhil1,2, Carl AB Pearson PhD1,2,3, Andrés Madriz Montero MSc4, Sergio Torres-Rueda MSc4, Elias Asfaw PhD5, Benjamin Uzochukwu MD6, Tom Drake DPhil7, Eleanor Bergren MSc4, Rosalind M Eggo PhD1,2, Francis Ruiz MSc4, Nicaise Ndembi PhD8, 9, Justice Nonvignon PhD5, 10, Mark Jit PhD1,2, Anna Vassall PhD4

  1. Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, United Kingdom
  2. Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, United Kingdom
  3. South African DSI-NRF Centre of Excellence in Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, Republic of South Africa
  4. Department of Global Health & Development, Faculty of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, United Kingdom
  5. Health Economics Programme, Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
  6. Department of Community Medicine, University of Nigeria Nsukka, Enugu campus
  7. Centre for Global Development, Great Peter House, Abbey Gardens, Great College St, London, UK
  8. Institute of Human Virology, University of Maryland School of Medicine, 725 W Lombard St, Baltimore, MD 21201, United States
  9. Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
  10. School of Public Health, University of Ghana, Legon, Ghana

Contact Yang.

Mark Jit, Anna Vassall, and Justice Nonvignon contributed equally.

Fitted parameters by country can be downloaded from the data_upload folder or via here.

Raw estimates behind results presented in the main text (including incremental costs, incremental DALYs, ICER, GDP per capita, ICER as a proportion of GDP per capita) for each scenario and each country can be downloaded from the data_upload folder or via here.