EMOD-Hub / EMOD

Source files for building the IDM EMOD disease transmission model.
MIT License
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epidemiology hiv idm malaria modeling stochastic

EMOD - V2.22

Epidemiological MODeling software (EMOD), is an agent-based model (ABM) that simulates the simultaneous interactions of agents in an effort to recreate complex phenomena. Each agent (such as a human or vector) can be assigned a variety of “properties” (for example, age, gender, etc.), and their behavior and interactions with one another are determined by using decision rules. These models have strong predictive power and are able to leverage spatial and temporal dynamics.

EMOD is also stochastic, meaning that there is randomness built into the model. Infection and recovery processes are represented as probabilistic Bernoulli random draws. In other words, when a susceptible person comes into contact with a pathogen, they are not guaranteed to become infected. Instead, you can imagine flipping a coin that has a λ chance of coming up tails S(t) times, and for every person who gets a “head” you say they are infected. This randomness better approximates what happens in reality. It also means that you must run many simulations to determine the probability of particular outcomes.

As of V2.22, EMOD will only support malaria and HIV and will no longer support diseases such as TB and Typhoid.

History & Publication Samples

EMOD development was started by Philip Welkoff in 2010 to model malaria. Since that time, EMOD has been used in numerous studies and policy decisions. Below is short sample of papers about EMOD and that used EMOD:

A malaria transmission-directed model of mosquito life cycle and ecology

Description of the EMOD-HIV Model v0.7

Effectiveness of reactive case detection for malaria elimination in three archetypical transmission settings: a modelling study

Implementation and applications of EMOD, an individual-based multi-disease modeling platform

Vector genetics, insecticide resistance and gene drives: an agent-based modeling approach to evaluate malaria transmission and elimination

The effect of 90-90-90 on HIV-1 incidence and mortality in eSwatini: a mathematical modelling study

Running EMOD

Since EMOD is a stochastic model, you must run numerous realizations of each scenario in order to collect proper statistics. You will likely need a high performance computing (HPC) platform to run these simulations. As of July 2024, we only support a SLURM-based HPC.

To make running EMOD easier, we have created some python packages that simplify configuring, running, and plotting the results. As of July 2024, we are working to make these packages more user friendly and will have updates coming in Q4 of 2024.

Directory Structure

If wanting to navigate through the code, the place to start is Eradication\Eradication.cpp.

More information on the EMOD Architecture can be found at:

https://docs.idmod.org/projects/emod-malaria/en/latest/dev-architecture-overview.html

Source Code Installation for Development

The following link provides instructions for installing the prerequisites required to build and run EMOD. This intended for code development and not doing research.

https://docs.idmod.org/projects/emod-malaria/en/latest/dev-install-overview.html

Community

The EMOD Community is made up of researchers and software developers, primarily focused on malaria and HIV research. We value mutual respect, openness, and a collaborative spirit. If these values resonate with you, we invite you to join our EMOD Slack Community by completing this form:

https://forms.office.com/r/sjncGvBjvZ

Contributing

Questions or comments can be directed to idmsupport@gatesfoundation.org.

Full information about EMOD is provided in the documentation.

Disclaimer

The code in this repository was developed by IDM and other collaborators to support our joint research on flexible agent-based modeling. We've made it publicly available under the MIT License to provide others with a better understanding of our research and an opportunity to build upon it for their own work. We make no representations that the code works as intended or that we will provide support, address issues that are found, or accept pull requests. You are welcome to create your own fork and modify the code to suit your own modeling needs as permitted under the MIT License.