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TheEconomist
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us-potus-model
Code for a dynamic multilevel Bayesian model to predict US presidential elections. Written in R and Stan.
https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president
MIT License
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How to run this?
#28
NunoSempere
opened
1 year ago
2
Backtesting Results
#27
balexanderstats
closed
3 years ago
2
Error running 2008_model.R
#26
johnbeaumont
closed
3 years ago
0
Sorting by state in Key States bad alphebetization
#25
mas-4
opened
3 years ago
0
Daily model output
#24
robincrlee
opened
3 years ago
0
Delegate Confidence Interval conflicts with estimated probability of win.
#23
ckoopmann
closed
3 years ago
0
Hi
#22
microprediction
opened
3 years ago
1
stringsAsFactors = TRUE prevents use of state polling data by stan models fit to 2008, 2012, and 2016
#21
fog-pine
closed
3 years ago
1
The website appears to calculate senate ties incorrectly - and therefore also the total win probability
#20
niclasmattsson
closed
3 years ago
4
Extra levels in factor for population variable
#19
balexanderstats
closed
3 years ago
1
Add estimates and data from Senate and House models?
#18
conorotompkins
closed
3 years ago
1
Unused parameter in stan model
#17
nesanders
closed
3 years ago
1
Hello world
#16
ouldmokhtaryoucefabed
closed
4 years ago
0
What is the goal?
#15
dbrody
opened
4 years ago
0
2008 polls
#14
zmeers
closed
4 years ago
1
Unable to locate file
#13
maghams
closed
4 years ago
1
CSV extract of polls has malformed dates
#12
conorotompkins
closed
4 years ago
1
Release CSV with results of simulations
#11
MrMarkDavis
closed
4 years ago
1
Question about `state_correlation_error` variance estimation.
#10
tcbegley
closed
4 years ago
4
Possible typo in `final_2016.R`?
#9
tcbegley
closed
4 years ago
1
Incorrect data in poll sheet
#8
nicholasbaileyrally
closed
4 years ago
6
Stan warnings in 2016 (and 2020)
#7
pqnelson
closed
3 years ago
5
Thank you for opensource the code, a quick question
#6
Paul-Yuchao-Dong
closed
4 years ago
2
Missing files
#5
williamlai2
closed
4 years ago
2
Potential use of 2016 election results in 2016 election?
#4
simon-morris
closed
4 years ago
6
Based on Jackman's work?
#3
mansillo
closed
4 years ago
1
Just a thank you ...
#2
RobertoMalatesta
closed
4 years ago
0
Rewrite model
#1
MerlinHeidemanns
closed
4 years ago
0