maxbiostat R0_uncertainty issues

maxbiostat / R0_uncertainty

Some remarks on prior modelling for the basic reproductive number in the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model

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check out this course

#45 maxbiostat opened 1 year ago
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Does prior containment work?

#44 maxbiostat opened 2 years ago
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COVID data and model

#43 maxbiostat opened 2 years ago
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Pesky warnings

#42 maxbiostat opened 2 years ago
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Can we do a formal sensitivity analysis?

#41 maxbiostat opened 2 years ago
4
Bits and pieces

#40 maxbiostat closed 2 years ago
1
cite this paper

#39 maxbiostat opened 2 years ago
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Experiment 2: single ODE parametrisation

#38 maxbiostat opened 3 years ago
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Experiment 1: simple SIR

#37 maxbiostat opened 3 years ago
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Work in progress. leave this PR open

#36 fccoelho closed 3 years ago
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First round of inference using PyMC3 with Nuts

#35 fccoelho closed 3 years ago
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Improved Simulated data

#34 fccoelho closed 3 years ago
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Check this paper out

#33 maxbiostat opened 3 years ago
1
Include half normal priors on the rates (SIR model)

#32 maxbiostat opened 4 years ago
1
Compare choices for the likelihood

#31 maxbiostat opened 4 years ago
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Test single ODE versus two ODEs

#30 maxbiostat opened 4 years ago
1
Test the priors in this example

#29 maxbiostat opened 4 years ago
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Implement log version of SIR

#28 maxbiostat opened 4 years ago
1
Evaluate the performance of Gamma and log-normal priors on simulated data

#27 maxbiostat opened 5 years ago
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correct implementation of moment matching

#26 maxbiostat closed 5 years ago
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View and analyse this discussion

#25 maxbiostat opened 5 years ago
1
General questions

#24 maxbiostat opened 5 years ago
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Implement Gamma priors for beta, gamma

#23 maxbiostat closed 5 years ago
1
code for fitting simple SIR

#22 maxbiostat closed 5 years ago
2
Good prior for (gamma, beta)

#21 maxbiostat opened 5 years ago
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Approximate solution to dR/dt

#20 maxbiostat closed 5 years ago
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Improvements to simulation code

#19 maxbiostat closed 5 years ago
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Priors for R0 -- catalogue

#18 maxbiostat opened 6 years ago
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Posterior predictive checks

#17 maxbiostat opened 6 years ago
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Decide how randomness will be added to the deterministic model

#16 marciomacielbastos opened 6 years ago
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check R0 reparametrisation

#15 maxbiostat closed 6 years ago
1
Check correction for population size

#14 maxbiostat opened 6 years ago
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Prior sensitivity

#13 maxbiostat opened 6 years ago
3
Find a "MWE" with Stan

#12 maxbiostat closed 5 years ago
1
Determine which models we are going to explore

#11 maxbiostat opened 6 years ago
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Information sources

#10 maxbiostat opened 6 years ago
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Change the informative prior example to reflect a real-world example

#9 maxbiostat opened 6 years ago
1
check that (log) concavity "result" is useful

#8 maxbiostat opened 6 years ago
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get interesting distributions on the parameters to perform pooling

#7 maxbiostat closed 6 years ago
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TODO: put the figures from KL in

#6 maxbiostat closed 6 years ago
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Extended abstract

#5 maxbiostat closed 7 years ago
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Example

#4 maxbiostat closed 7 years ago
1
move Gamma ratio section to uncertainty analysis

#3 maxbiostat closed 6 years ago
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Migrate to the conference template

#2 maxbiostat closed 6 years ago
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Compare equal-weights \alpha with "problem-specific" \alpha

#1 maxbiostat closed 6 years ago
0